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Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?
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3 comments
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Total Forecasters
53
Community Prediction
75%
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community: 75%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
75.0%
mean
67.5%
0%
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100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Soviet Union
China
United Kingdom
India
Japan
Pakistan
Iran
France
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Soviet Union
China
United Kingdom
India
Japan
Pakistan
Iran
France
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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SCOTT RITTER: Iran’s Bomb is Real — and It’s Here
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