M

Question

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

4
4
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction75% (65.9% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 75%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Soviet Union
China
United Kingdom
India
Japan
Pakistan
Iran
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
France
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

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