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Question

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

4
3
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction75%

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community: 75%
median 75.0%mean 67.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Soviet Union
China
United Kingdom
India
Japan
Pakistan
Iran
France
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

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