Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Model 3 spot production rate at end of 2018?

Resolved :4.61k6.52k
14
6
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction6.52k (5.16k - 8.29k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
5.159k
6.517k
8.295k

What was the final result?4.61k

Community Baseline Score
-1.6
Community Peer Score
26.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Tesla
Elon Musk
Tesla Model 3
Bloomberg L.P.

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