Question

Will aerial drones deliver 100 million or more parcels in the US by 2050?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction56%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 56%

median 56.0%mean 57.1%

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Amazon (company)

Federal Aviation Administration

United States Postal Service

United States

When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?

2026-07-19

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will retail and restaurant locations in the US decline by over 50% between 2020 and 2050?

39.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Amazon (company)

Federal Aviation Administration

United States Postal Service

United States

Amazon targets smart glasses that could guide delivery drivers to where to drop off packages, report says

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

85 million damaged packages arrived on doorsteps last year — and the number is soaring, troubling study shows

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Wing begins delivering blood samples via drone in London

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?

2026-07-19

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Will retail and restaurant locations in the US decline by over 50% between 2020 and 2050?

39.1%