Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will Metaculus exist in 2030?
49
54 comments
54
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
524
Community Prediction
95%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 95%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
95.0%
mean
89.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Metaculus
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Metaculus
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over
Business Insider
•
Nov 14, 2024
How Polymarket Predicted Trump: The Inside Story As FBI Raids CEO's Home
Newsweek
•
Nov 14, 2024
The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?
Psychology Today
•
Nov 16, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over
Business Insider
•
Nov 14, 2024
How Polymarket Predicted Trump: The Inside Story As FBI Raids CEO's Home
Newsweek
•
Nov 14, 2024
The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?
Psychology Today
•
Nov 16, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
2049-02-27
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
8%
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
84%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
2049-02-27
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
8%
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
84%
Show More Questions