Question

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction14.4 (12.7 - 16.3)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

	<3	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>30
community	0.2%	12.75	14.37	16.31	0.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<3	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	12.75	—
median	14.37	—
upper 75%	16.31	—
Upper bound
>30	0.5%	—

Authors:

dmunro

Opened:

Nov 5, 2021

Closes:

Dec 20, 2041

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 21, 2041

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When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

2040-04-24

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47.5%

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