Question

When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction2031-01-19 (2028-05-22 - 2035-05-25)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01-01

...

2028-05-22 02:04

2031-01-19 02:01

2035-05-25 03:21

4.4%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

BlueThing

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ranked-choice voting in the United States

Jo Jorgensen

John McCain

US Senate

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Dems push drastic move that Mike Lee calls 'a phenomenally bad idea'

FOX News•Dec 17, 2024

Alaska's Embarrassing Senator - and the Media Running Cover for Her

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BlueThing

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ranked-choice voting in the United States

Jo Jorgensen

John McCain

US Senate

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Dems push drastic move that Mike Lee calls 'a phenomenally bad idea'

FOX News•Dec 17, 2024

Alaska's Embarrassing Senator - and the Media Running Cover for Her

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

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MetaculusM

When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?

Make a Prediction

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Comments

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?