Question

When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction2030-09

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01

...

2028-02

2030-09

2035-01

4.4%

Authors:

BlueThing

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ranked-choice voting in the United States

Jo Jorgensen

John McCain

US Senate

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

49.5

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

13%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BlueThing

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ranked-choice voting in the United States

Jo Jorgensen

John McCain

US Senate

Why Ranked-Choice Voting Is Pushed By Scheming Leftists

Federalist•Oct 1, 2024

How the 2020 Census Map Impacts the 2024 Electoral College

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Another Ranked-Choice Spoiler (Corrected version)

OpEdNews•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

49.5

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

13%

MetaculusM

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When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?

Make a Prediction

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Comments

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?