Question

What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations before 1 March 2022?

Resolved :19.7k11.6k

4 comments4

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction11.6k (9.86k - 14.3k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>22k

...

9.857k

11.62k

14.27k

2.1%

What was the final result?19.7k

Community Baseline Score

-39.0

Community Peer Score

9.8

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

National Health Service (England)

Ambulance delays at the start of winter increase by nearly 50% in a year - as NHS faces 'quad-demic' of flu, Covid, norovirus and RSV

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Flu crisis in numbers: Hospitalisations up 360% from last year as NHS under strain

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Number of people in hospital in England with flu jumps 41% in a week

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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2.01

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127

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