Question

When will the UK’s pre-March 2022 peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations occur?

Resolved :Jan 13, 20222022-01-17

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction2022-01-17 (2022-01-02 - 2022-02-03)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	02 Jan 2022	17 Jan 2022	03 Feb 2022
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	02 Jan 2022	—
median	17 Jan 2022	—
upper 75%	03 Feb 2022	—

What was the final result?Jan 13, 2022

Community Baseline Score

28.6

Community Peer Score

9.6

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Nov 1, 2021

Closes:

Dec 1, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 27, 2022

National Health Service (England)

‘Tidal wave of flu’ warning for NHS in England this winter, new figures show

Independent•Feb 16, 2025

NHS warns of 'tidal wave' of flu as hospital cases rise 70% in England

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

US Warned of 2032 Hospital Crisis

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

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