Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

median 52.0%mean 50.5%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Japan to Join U.S. Marines in Bolstering Military Presence in Australia

Breitbart•Nov 17, 2024

Japanese troops will train with US and Australian forces as concerns over China grow

Associated Press•Nov 17, 2024

Japan’s troops to train with US, Australian forces amid concerns over China

Al Jazeera•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%