Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction52% (33% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

Make a Prediction

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Comments

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?