Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters158

Community Prediction53% (33% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 53%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China Will Launch War This Decade, Trump Nominee Says

Newsweek•Jan 16, 2025

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Taiwan demonstrates sea defenses against potential Chinese attack as tensions rise with Beijing

Associated Press•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

55.7%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China Will Launch War This Decade, Trump Nominee Says

Newsweek•Jan 16, 2025

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Taiwan demonstrates sea defenses against potential Chinese attack as tensions rise with Beijing

Associated Press•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

55.7%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%