M

Question

Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022?

Resolved :No
14
22
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
50.4
Community Peer Score
16.9
median 3.0%mean 5.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Geopolitics
Tigray People's Liberation Front
Addis Ababa–Djibouti Railway
Debretsion Gebremichael
Mekelle
Amhara Region
Afar Region
Oromo Liberation Front
Addis Ababa
Abiy Ahmed
Ethiopia

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