Question

When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?

Resolved :Dec 22, 20212022-01-09

17 comments17

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction2022-01-09 (2021-12-30 - 2022-01-24)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-03-01

...

2021-12-30 14:18

2022-01-09 00:08

2022-01-24 16:38

6.0%

What was the final result?Dec 22, 2021

Community Baseline Score

31.1

Community Peer Score

9.3

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

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NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

Biden gives Pfizer and Moderna shield from being sued for Covid vaccine injuries and deaths until 2029

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Is Pfizer Stock Undervalued?

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

224

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

Biden gives Pfizer and Moderna shield from being sued for Covid vaccine injuries and deaths until 2029

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Is Pfizer Stock Undervalued?

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

224

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%

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When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?

Make a Prediction

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

Comments

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?