Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many new building permits will be authorized in the SF metro area in 2022?

Resolved :11.5k11.7k
4
10
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction11.7k (11.2k - 12.5k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>19k
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
11.19k
11.66k
12.52k
2.0%

What was the final result?11.5k

Community Baseline Score
38.7
Community Peer Score
15.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Planning permission
Federal Reserve Economic Data
San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley, CA Metropolitan Statistical Area

Comments

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