🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024?

Resolved :Yes92%
10
10
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction92% (71% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 92%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
10.9
Community Peer Score
4.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2021-2025 Leaderboard
United Nations Security Council
United Nations
Physics
Military science
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Nuclear weapon
Intercontinental ballistic missile
Aerospace engineering
North Korea

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