Question

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction81.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

59.81

81.93

92.5

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

Plug-in hybrid

Argonne National Laboratory

United States

[KH Explains] For Korean automakers, Chinese EVs may loom larger than Trump’s tariffs

Korea Herald•Nov 14, 2024

Trump's win could sharply raise the cost of electric vehicles. Here's why.

CBS•Nov 16, 2024

Is the $7500 Federal EV Tax Credit Going Away Under Trump?

Newsweek•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

90.9

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

Plug-in hybrid

Argonne National Laboratory

United States

[KH Explains] For Korean automakers, Chinese EVs may loom larger than Trump’s tariffs

Korea Herald•Nov 14, 2024

Trump's win could sharply raise the cost of electric vehicles. Here's why.

CBS•Nov 16, 2024

Is the $7500 Federal EV Tax Credit Going Away Under Trump?

Newsweek•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

90.9