Question

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction81.9

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

59.8

81.9

92.5

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

Plug-in hybrid

Argonne National Laboratory

United States

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

89.8

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

Plug-in hybrid

Argonne National Laboratory

United States

Ron DeSantis said EVs could catch fire if caught up in Hurricane Helene. Experts say he's right — and that you should take these steps to protect yourself.

Business Insider•Oct 1, 2024

US Auto Sales Remain Stuck Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Daily Caller•Oct 1, 2024

North Carolina's Coming Run on Electric Cars

Atlantic•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

89.8

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What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

Make a Prediction

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

Comments

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?