Question

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction82.3 (63.3 - 93.7)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

63.29

82.31

93.67

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

Plug-in hybrid

Argonne National Laboratory

United States

EV sales reach new highs in Australia, making up nearly 10% of car market

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

28.7

What percent of new car sales in China will be electric in 2035?

90.8

Comments

? comments