Question
By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
Resolved :No1%Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)
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Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
58.0
Community Peer Score
30.6
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch