Question

Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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havlickova.blanka

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If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

34.7%

If the US is attacked by >100 nuclear detonations by 2045, will US cereal crop yields decline by ≥20%?

85%

If there are >100 nuclear detonations by 2050, will average global cereal yields be at least 5% lower in the following 5 years than in the previous 5 years?

84%

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