Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
12
28
Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
72.8
Community Peer Score
13.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Iran
Mohammad Javad Zarif
United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
United States
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

Comments

? comments