Question

Will any state leave NATO before 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%

19 comments19

Total Forecasters208

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.4%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.7

Community Peer Score

8.2

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Authors:

havlickova.blanka

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North Macedonia

Georgia (U.S. state)

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Ukraine

NATO

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FOX News•Dec 24, 2024

Nato cannot defend Europe from Russia without the US, warns alliance’s frontline leaders

Independent•Dec 24, 2024

NATO CANNOT defend Europe from Russia without US, alliance's eastern leaders warn, weeks before Trump enters the White House

Daily Mail•Dec 25, 2024

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32.1

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