Question

Will an additional state join NATO before 2024?

Resolved :Yes

39 comments39

Total Forecasters229

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.4

Community Peer Score

15.8

median 99.0%mean 94.3%

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

North Macedonia

Partnership for Peace

Georgia (U.S. state)

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Ukraine

NATO

How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025?

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

25%

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

99%

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