Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty?

Resolved :No0.5%
5
2
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.8
Community Peer Score
8.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Treaty on Open Skies
Russian Armed Forces
Minister of Foreign Affairs (Russia)
President of Russia
Ukraine–NATO relations
United States
Prime Minister of Russia
Ministry of Defence (Russia)
Russia

Comments

? comments