Question
What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area?
Resolved:505.25kTotal Forecasters49
Community Prediction
1.83M
(562k - 5.08M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 | 7.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 562.1k | — |
| median | 1.832M | — |
| upper 75% | 5.081M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15M | 0.9% | — |
What was the final result?505.25k
Community Baseline Score
0.4
Community Peer Score
65.1
Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Feb 28, 2023
Resolves:Mar 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Feb 28, 2023
Resolves:Mar 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch