M

Question

Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022?

Resolved :No
3
7
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction41%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
50.9
Community Peer Score
9.4
median 41.0%mean 39.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear Threat Initiative
MacArthur Foundation
Carnegie Corporation of New York

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