Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 10th of December, 2021?

Resolved :2.5k1.8k

6 comments6

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction1.8k (1.43k - 2.22k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>6k

...

1.435k

1.796k

2.224k

0.1%

What was the final result?2.5k

Community Baseline Score

8.2

Community Peer Score

15.0

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Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Question suggestions for VA Lightning Tourney

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%