Question

What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound2.98k

9 comments9

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction2.98k (2.33k - 3.78k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

2.33k

2.982k

3.776k

0.5%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

-67.7

Community Peer Score

66.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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