Question

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction10.9k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

2.4%

6.759k

10.89k

19.2k

1.6%

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Geopolitics

Federation of American Scientists

Cold War

North Korea

Imminent World War Threat Looms as NATO Continues Reckless Policy

Lew Rockwell•Dec 2, 2024

Chemical Weapons and the new Cold War

OpEdNews•Nov 28, 2024

Nuclear Bomb Map Shows How US, Russian, North Korean Weapons Compare

Newsweek•Dec 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

3.3k

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

9.53k

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

1.03

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