Question
How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction10.9k (6.76k - 19.2k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1k | 2.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 6.759k | — |
| median | 10.89k | — |
| upper 75% | 19.2k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100k | 1.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2053
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2053