🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

7
3
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction10.9k (6.76k - 19.2k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
...
2.4%
6.759k
10.89k
19.2k
1.6%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeckA_RMatejerikhoel
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Technology
Geopolitics
Federation of American Scientists
Cold War
North Korea

Comments

? comments