Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?

Resolved :No13%
9
16
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction13% (9% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
82.6
Community Peer Score
6.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
2021 Leaderboard
Antioch, Illinois
Murder

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