M

Question

Will the first offensive nuclear detonation by 2024 be of a nonstrategic nuclear weapon, if there's an offensive detonation by then?

Resolved :Annulled
Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction77%

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community: 77%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 77.0%mean 73.1%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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