Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024?

Resolved :No1%
2
5
Total Forecasters68
Community Prediction1% (0.2% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
72.2
Community Peer Score
9.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Soviet Union
South China Sea
China
President of Russia
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
United States
Donald Trump

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