Question

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Resolved :No1%

109 comments109

Total Forecasters352

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

41.1

Community Peer Score

18.8

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Nov 22, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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