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Question

Conditional on New START not being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

1
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction3.9%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3.9%
median 3.9%mean 13.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Arms Control Association
Physics
Military science
United States
New START
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Russia

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