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Question

Conditional on New START not being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction4.8% (2% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4.8%
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034

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