Question

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction34.7% (20% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34.7%

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Nov 18, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2035

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If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?

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If there are >100 nuclear detonations by 2050, will average global cereal yields be at least 5% lower in the following 5 years than in the previous 5 years?

84%

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