Question
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
0.0269%
(0.00752 - 0.0929)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.007516% | — |
| median | 0.02694% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.09285% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
