Question

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

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Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction2.69e-2

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

7.52e-3

2.69e-2

9.29e-2

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Nuclear winter

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Environmental science

United States

Urban area

Nuclear weapons testing

Peaceful nuclear explosion

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

1.82e-1

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

2.19e-1

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

4.27e-1

Comments

? comments

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Nuclear winter

Nuclear Science and Techniques

Environmental science

United States

Urban area

Nuclear weapons testing

Peaceful nuclear explosion

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What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

1.82e-1

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

2.19e-1

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

4.27e-1

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What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

Make a Prediction

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

Comments

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?