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Question

Conditional on New START being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction3% (1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034

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