Question
Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction1.9% (1% - 4%)
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Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch