Question

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >15% weight loss?

Resolved :Nov 8, 2023

8 comments8

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction2024-03-15

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-01-01

...

2023-10-28 01:08

2024-03-15 19:02

2025-03-01 21:10

0.3%

What was the final result?Nov 8, 2023

Community Baseline Score

6.8

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Anti-obesity medication

Food and Drug Administration

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

2028-12-07

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

80.8%

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