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M

Question

What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?

0
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction0.835 (0.0706 - 0.98)

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weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.07061
0.8347
0.9799
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Strategic nuclear weapon
Physics
Military science
Security
Tactical nuclear weapon
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion

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