Question

What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction44.2

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My Prediction

community

<30

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>60

...

3.8%

39.08

44.25

49.05

1.8%

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Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

What percentage of US adults will have Diabetes (type 1 and 2) in 2032?

12.9

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

2028-12-07

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

What actually happens when you quit Ozempic: New study sheds light

Daily Mail•Nov 14, 2024

‘Obesity is at a crisis point’: Study predicts that 260 million in US will be overweight or obese by 2050

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

Supersize US: Without ‘immediate action’ nearly 260 million Americans will be overweight or obese by 2050

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of US adults will have Diabetes (type 1 and 2) in 2032?

12.9

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

2028-12-07