M

Question

At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?

0
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction67%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 67%
median 67.0%mean 63.4%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China
United Kingdom
India
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Pakistan
France
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
United States
Israel

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