M

Question

If there's a non-test detonation of a state's nuclear weapon by 2050, will the first such detonation be accidental/unauthorised?

1
0
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction20.9%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20.9%
median 20.9%mean 20.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Plowshares movement

Comments

? comments