Question

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

no comments0

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Nov 24, 2021

Closes:

Jul 2, 2063

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 26, 2021

European Space Agency

US Department of Defense

China National Space Administration

See the surprising technofossils humanity may leave behind

CNN•Mar 29, 2025

Curiosity rover detects large organic molecules on Mars that may point to the building blocks of life

CNN•Mar 29, 2025

When Was the First Exoplanet Discovered?

Scientific American•Mar 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

2.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Nov 24, 2021

Closes:

Jul 2, 2063

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 26, 2021

European Space Agency

US Department of Defense

China National Space Administration

See the surprising technofossils humanity may leave behind

CNN•Mar 29, 2025

Curiosity rover detects large organic molecules on Mars that may point to the building blocks of life

CNN•Mar 29, 2025

When Was the First Exoplanet Discovered?

Scientific American•Mar 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

2.7%

MetaculusM

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Make a Prediction

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

Comments

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

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