Question

Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?

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Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction20% (17% - 26%)

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50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Trump wants to extend his 2017 tax cuts — and more. Here's what that could mean for you.

CBS•Dec 13, 2024

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Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Will Congress Lower Taxes In 2025?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

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Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

31.2%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Comments

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Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Trump wants to extend his 2017 tax cuts — and more. Here's what that could mean for you.

CBS•Dec 13, 2024

Civic engagement nonprofits say democracy needs support in between big elections. Do funders agree?

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Will Congress Lower Taxes In 2025?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

31.2%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Comments

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?