Question

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction25% (15% - 25.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Nov 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Authorization for Use of Military Force

War Powers Resolution

US Congress

United States

Foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration

Return to Warfighting: Donald Trump Can and *Should* Reshape the Pentagon As He Pleases

Red State•Jan 28, 2025

World Map Shows Most Dangerous Conflicts for US in 2025

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A 23-Year Pattern in US Foreign Policy

AntiWar•Jan 30, 2025

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The Expansion of Executive War Powers

Will the US President continue to have unrestricted authority to use nuclear weapons by 2030?

95%

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Nov 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Authorization for Use of Military Force

War Powers Resolution

US Congress

United States

Foreign policy of the Barack Obama administration

Return to Warfighting: Donald Trump Can and *Should* Reshape the Pentagon As He Pleases

Red State•Jan 28, 2025

World Map Shows Most Dangerous Conflicts for US in 2025

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

A 23-Year Pattern in US Foreign Policy

AntiWar•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

Will the US President continue to have unrestricted authority to use nuclear weapons by 2030?

95%

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

15%