Question

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction2028-10-09

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01-01

...

2026-08-12 18:31

2028-10-09 05:45

2032-01-30 19:28

2.2%

Authors:

Kostas

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

European Space Agency

Space debris

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

Low Earth orbit

What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?

19.1

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08-02

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

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