Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the FDA authorize an oral antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2?

Resolved :Dec 22, 20212021-12-24
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction2021-12-24 (2021-12-22 - 2022-01-03)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2022-05-04
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...
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2021-12-22 03:11
2021-12-24 11:51
2022-01-03 03:18
3.6%

What was the final result?Dec 22, 2021

Community Baseline Score
11.3
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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