Question
When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?
Resolved :Jul 23, 20222022-10-04Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction2022-10-04 (2022-07-21 - 2023-07-04)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Jul 2022 | — |
median | Oct 2022 | — |
upper 75% | Jul 2023 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2031-12-30 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?Jul 23, 2022
Community Baseline Score
3.1
Community Peer Score
1.2
Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Resolves:Dec 31, 2031
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Resolves:Dec 31, 2031