Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many influenza-associated pediatric deaths will there be in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?

Resolved :10.869
-1
9
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction0.869 (0.294 - 2.19)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
0.294
0.8685
2.189
0.1%

What was the final result?1

Community Baseline Score
119.9
Community Peer Score
3.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Virginia
Public health
Medicine
Virology
Pediatrics

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